View NAF:NSV-9 Technology Forecast Subview

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Overview

The NSV-9 Technology Forecast subview is part of the NATO System View and one of the 47 NATO Architecture Framework subviews.

Version & Date

Version 3.0

See NAF Release History.

Purpose

From the NATO Architecture Framework v3, CHAPTER 4, Section 4.7.9

The purpose of the Technology Forecast is to identify relevant emerging technologies, and to ensure that the architecture benefits from it, or is easily adapted to it. NSV-9 provides a summary of emerging technologies that impact the architecture and its existing planned systems. The focus will be on the supporting technologies that may most affect the capabilities of the architecture or its systems.

Covered by NATO release conditions.

Definition

From the NATO Architecture Framework v3, CHAPTER 4, Section 4.7.9

The NSV-9 subview defines the underlying current and expected supporting technologies. It is not expected to include predictions of technologies. Expected supporting technologies are those that can be reasonably forecast given the current state of technology and expected improvements. New technologies will be tied to specific time periods, which can correlate against the time periods used in NSV-8 milestones.

NSV-9 provides a detailed description of emerging technologies and specific hardware and software products. It contains predictions about the availability of emerging technological capabilities and about industry trends in specific time periods. The specific time periods selected (e.g., 6-month, 12-month, 18- month intervals) and the technologies being tracked will be coordinated with architecture transition plans (see NSV-8). That is, insertion of new technological capabilities and upgrading of existing systems may depend on or be driven by the availability of new technology. The forecast includes potential technology impacts on current architectures and thus influences the development of transition and objective (i.e., target) architectures. The forecast will be focused on technology areas that are related to the purpose for which a given architecture is being described and will identify issues affecting that architecture.

If standards are an integral part of the technologies, important to the evolution of a given architecture, then it may be convenient to relate NSV-9 to NTV-1 and/or NTV-2. NSV-9 forecasts relate to the Technical Standards Profile (NTV-1) in that a timed technology forecast may contribute to the decision to retire or phase out the use of a certain standard in connection with a system element. Similarly, NSV-9 forecasts relate to NTV-2 Technical Standards Forecast in that a certain standard may be adopted depending on a certain technology becoming available.

Covered by NATO release conditions.

From the NATO Architecture Framework v3, CHAPTER 5, Section 5.2.6.9

The NSV-9 can include:

Covered by NATO release conditions.

 

Comments

It isn’t entirely clear what the distinction is with the NTV-2 Technical Standards Forecast Subview which

... identify emerging, obsolete and fragile standards, and to assess their impact on the architecture and its constituent elements. A forecast addressing emerging standards will give insight into the direction that the project will go.

Other Frameworks

See also:

References

  • Section 4.7.9 (page 255 of pdf) of APPENDIX 1 TO ANNEX 1 TO AC/322-D(2007)0048. NATO Architecture Framework Version 3.
  • Section 5.2.6.9 (page 416 of pdf) of APPENDIX 1 TO ANNEX 1 TO AC/322-D(2007)0048. NATO Architecture Framework Version 3.

 

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